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Fundamental Analysis

Little Surprise in China’s “forced imports” Plan

So, the “Phase One” trade agreement was signed on Wednesday and markets got some concrete figures to digest. They had to shed light (though a dim one) to China’s plans to correct the trade imbalance...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 21

WTI Under PressureThe CFTC COT positioning report showed that net length in US WTI positions rose by 12,415 contracts to 567,272 contracts in the week ending January 7th. The rise in WTI upside...

Trade Truce or Temporary Ceasefire?

As the date of signing the US-Sino agreement loomed, the situation grew slowly with new details which can’t be characterized as positive for the markets. There is an increasing impression that it is...

US & UK Inflation Weaker Than Expected

US Inflation Rises Over 2019, Weaker Over DecemberThe US was treated to a rather mixed inflation report yesterday. The CPI figures for December came in with headline inflation rising 0.2%...

The Trade Deal is Likely to Breathe new Life into Stock-picking

According to an informed source from the Trump administration, China has pledged to boost US imports of manufactured goods by $80 billion and energy by more than $50 billion over two years....

The IndeX Files 14-01-2020

Attention Turning Back Towards US-Sino Trade DealGlobal benchmark equities indices have seen a pause in their recent upward trajectory though are consolidating near highs, suggesting a continuation...

Understanding December NFP: The puzzle of low unemployment

The December Non-Farm Payrolls report, released last Friday, looks majorly disappointing at first glance.  However, correct judgment of the report involves understanding the subtle interplay between...

Precious Metals Monday 13-01-2020

GoldWith tensions between the US and Iran having dissipated over recent sessions, the new week has commenced with a firmly risk-on tone, seeing reduced safe-haven demand for gold.  The market is now...

The Investment Bank Outlook 13-01-2020

In our Investment Bank Outlook each week, we bring you a selection of perspectives from leading investment banks to outline the key issues and directional views for the week ahead. These excerpts,...