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Fundamental Analysis

Factory Output Data Hints More Weakness is Ahead for Japan

Industrial production in Japan contracted for the second month in a row in November, increasing the odds of a recession in the fourth quarter due to lower domestic demand and exports.The bulk of...

Running Through The Top Market Themes Of 2019

US-Sino Trade WarThe year began positively between the US and China. Following a truce agreed at the G20 summit in November 2018, both sides were engaged in trade talks aimed at delivering a trade...

Precious Metals Monday 23-12-2019

GoldThe final trading week of the year is typically a quiet one and while no major moves are expected in the metals, there are some important developments worth noting as we head into 2020. Firstly,...

Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

Monday, December 23, 2019 - Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Nov)(USD), GDP (MoM) (Oct)(CAD), New Home Sales (Nov)(USD).Tuesday, December 24, 2019 - Christmas Eve.Wednesday, December 25, 2019 -...

Mnuchin: “Phase one” Trade Deal will be Signed in January

US Treasury Secretary Stephen Mnuchin said on Thursday that Washington and Beijing would sign the “first phase” of the trade deal in early January, adding that the agreement was fully completed and...

“Too determined” PM Johnson could be Harmful for the Pound

Revised estimate of the UK GDP was slightly higher than the initial print for the third quarter, while trade deficit shrank to the lowest level since 2012, data showed on Friday. The pickup in...

The Friday FX Takeaway - Episode 14

Key Points From This WeekBOE Kept Rates On HoldThe Bank of England meeting drew a lot of attention this week in the wake of the UK General Elections. As expected, the bank kept rates on hold, noting a...

Soybeans: Hard Choice for China Between the US and Brazil

We continue to scrutinise the “Phase one” trade deal between the US and China, in particular the feasibility some of its aspects, in order to understand whether trade deal optimism was premature or...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 18

Trade Deal & Brexit Optimism Supporting WTIThe CFTC COT report showed that net long positions in crude increased by 67,504 contracts last. The total position in WTI crude now stands at 495,539...