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Fundamental Analysis

Euro Demand Remains at 5-year High but Technical Picture Calls for Caution

The European currency posted record-high appeal among speculators for several years, showed the latest CFTC report. Net long speculative position rose to a 5-year high in the week ending Aug 4:Extreme...

Flip Side of Strong July Payrolls

The US economy created more than expected jobs in July, a report showed on Friday. Despite small positive deviation with consensus estimate it was a big surprise since several alternative data sources...

Top Trump Moments This Week

As the US presidential elections draw ever nearer, it seems that pressure on Donald Trump is causing him to move deeper into the shock-and-awe tactics which made him so attention worthy during the...

Iraq Says it will Make Additional Supply Cuts, Offering Supportive Price Outlook

Iraq said on Friday that it will cut oil production by another 400,000 bpd in both August and September to offset overproduction over the past three months.In a joint statement, Iraqi Oil Minister...

Key economic events and reports for the week ahead

Monday, August 10, 2020 - JOLTs Job Openings (Jun)(USD).Tuesday, August 11, 2020 - Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Jun)(GBP), German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug)(EUR), PPI (MoM) (Jul)(USD).Wednesday,...

Interim USD Strength Suggests NFP can be a Trigger for Stock Market Sell-off

US Dollar oversold hit a 40-year high said Morgan Stanley on Friday, adding that it had changed its USD stance from “sell” to “tactically neutral”.Recall that this Monday I wrote that MS analysts...

BOE Discussing Negative Interest Rates in The UK

BOE Leaves Rates UnchangedThe Bank of England left its monetary policy levels unchanged at its August MPC meeting yesterday along with a message that the downturn is likely to be less severe than...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 50

Oil Traders Reduce LongsThe CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that traders reduced their net long positions in WTI markets last week by 16,307 contracts, taking the total position to...

Is the July NFP Priced in? USD Price Action After ADP Reports Suggests it is

As expected, the ADP report showed that dynamics of US employment in July was on the verge of depression: US economy gained only 167K jobs against the forecast of 1.5M.Another major report was...