REAL TIME NEWS
TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistance. A breakout at this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistance at 0.8031, a pullback resistance that i... TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistan
FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected volatility within major currency pairs. Macro uncertainty appears to be contained, and the tight ranges observed in sp... FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected vol
TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward ... TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullb
TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1... TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap
Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1s... Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback s
Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—particularly in MegaCap Tech and Mag-X. This comes amid swirling market risks tied to policy implications for both the c... Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—parti
Daily Market Outlook, September 11, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…US and European futures showed limited appetite for directional trade overnight, ahead of the highly anticipated US inflation report scheduled... Daily Market Outlook, September 11, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…US and European futures sho
SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 11/9/25WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~10 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6440/50WEEKLY RANGE RES 6556 SUP 6407SEP MOPEX STRADDLE - 6260/6639SEP EOM STRADDLE - 6282/6638DAILY BULL BEAR ZONE 651... SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 11/9/25WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~10 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6440
September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to monitor. First, the ECB will meet for its September rates setting meeting. No further easing is forecast today and ... September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to
US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was in dovish territory with both headline and core PPI at -0.1%, down from 0.7% prior and well below the 0.3% the mar... US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was

Fundamental Analysis

EURUSD: Odds are Skewed to Extension of the Upside Move

Eurozone recorded the worst drop of GDP in history in 2Q. But markets are driven by expectations about future growth and outlook for economic momentum of the EU is definitely better than of...

US GDP Falls Most Since WW2 Over Q2

GDP Sees Rceord Fall in Q2The US Q2 GDP reading, released yesterday, confirmed the worst period of economic activity since the second world war with the economy contracting by 32.9% from...

Review of the Fed Policy Meeting: More Downside Risks for USD?

The Fed left policy parameters unchanged on yesterday meeting but reiterated "whatever it takes" mantra to bring activity back to pre-crisis levels. We know from the post-GFC Central banks’ response...

Fed Highlights Pandemic Uncertainty At July FOMC

The July FOMC meeting held last night was a fairly low impact event. In line with expectations the Fed refrained from adjusting policy levels while delivering a message of concern and uncertainty,...

Here is the First Sign US Recovery Enters Phase of Moderation

Record-setting performance of the US economy in May and June appears to be coming to an end with time of disappointment creeping in. I elaborated on this idea in my yesterday post discussing potential...

Fed Announces 3mth Extension to Lending Programs Ahead of FOMC

Funding Operations ExtendedAhead of the July FOMC meeting later today, the Federal Reserve announced yesterday that it will extend the duration of a number of its lending facilities through to the end...

Australia Sees Worst Quarterly Decline in Inflation on Record

Australia In DeflationThe Australian Dollar has retained a bid tone at the European open on Wednesday despite news overnight that Australian CPI fell again in Q2. The data released by the Australian...

US Durable Goods Data Raises Questions over Recovery

Durable Goods Slows From Initial RecoveryThe latest economic data from the US has done little to offer much encouragement over the health of the recovery there. Durable goods orders for last month...

New GOP Stimulus Plan Hints about Dovish Fedspeak in July

The US Dollar regains some lost ground on Tuesday although gains are more akin to a technical pullback before July FOMC meeting which is due on Wednesday. Technical nature of the move is also...