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Fundamental Analysis

Dollar Index Looks Set to Bounce Off the Round Level of 100, Should Help Euro to Recover

The outgoing week was marked by a continued rise in bond yields of developed countries and hawkish reassessment of the Fed’s interest rate path. At the same time, greenback demand rose, while for the...

FOMO Friday: NZDUSD Reverses As USD Pushes On

Kiwi Comes Under Pressure On the back of some of the volatility we’ve seen over prior weeks, we were treated to a somewhat quieter session this week. Markets were far more contained as traders await...

Euro Gets a Chance for a Rebound After ECB Minutes Release

The specter of stagflation in the EU greatly complicates the ECB potential to effectively use monetary policy. It becomes clear that commodity supply disruptions and trade contraction cement high...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 130

Oil Traders Cut Longs FurtherThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders reduced their net-long positions once again last week. Upside positions has been steadily...

Bitcoin: Correction or Start of Continuation Higher?

Tricky 2022 So FarFor those who joined the crypto-rollercoaster late last year, 2022 has been a far from joyous experience. Any crypto bulls hoping for the same sort of increase as we saw over Q1 2022...

Markets Run Ahead of Themselves Pricing in De-escalation as Risk-off Trades Return

European equities are under moderate pressure amid signals that the optimism about imminent end of hostilities in Ukraine was premature. There are reports that Russia concentrates main forces for the...

Technical Setup in the Dollar Index Suggests Upside Rebound is in Cards

The rebound in SPX over the past 10 days was in the 2% of the strongest bear market rallies (defined as a fall 20%+ from ATH) in nearly 100 years of observations, indicating speculative flows could...

Russia Sends Major de-Escalation Signal, Risk Assets Surge on Expectations of a Ceasefire

Progress in peace talks between Ukraine and the Russian Federation in Istanbul today has become the main driver of recovery moves in risk assets and Forex. One of the key signals of de-escalation was...

Dollar Renews Rally Ahead of Payrolls Release, USDJPY Targets 125

Stagflation risks seem to take their toll and after a short pause European currencies and the Japanese yen continued to depreciate against greenback. The dollar index rose by almost half a percent...