The Friday Forex Takeaway - Episode 70
Key Points From This Week
RBA Adds Extra Easing
Despite an uptick in economic activity as restrictions continue to ease across Australia, the RBA doubled its bond purchase program this week by a further $100 billion. The RBA cited remaining downside risks and continued uncertainty in the outlook as the main divers behind the move though still maintains that the economy is on course for a full recovery. However, employment and inflation are likely to remain subdued in the near term.
Dollar Rally Continues
The US Dollar has continued higher this week, with US treasury yields continuing to improve on the back of the recent FOMC meeting. With the Fed refraining from any further dovish signaling and with vaccination optimism lifting sentiment, the Dollar has been well bid across the week.
BOE Remains On Hold
The BOE held rates steady this week and announced no further easing as it cited optimism over the government's vaccination progress. The BOE is projecting a full recovery over H2 though did warn that downside risks and uncertainty remain, warning regional banks also that negative rates could still come into play this year.
Key Events Next Week
BOE's Bailey & Fed's Powell Both Speak
Over a very quiet data week, the main focus will be on the two central bank heads who both speak on Wednesday. on the back of recent central bank meetings, traders will be keen to hear any further assessment of the current situation and any perceived hawkishness could see firm buying in both currencies.
US CPI
Earlier in the day on Wednesday traders will receive the next set of US CPI readings. Given the recent uptick in US inflation expectations this will be an important release to watch and any strength here should see the USD rally continue higher in the near term.
Keep An Eye On
US Stimulus Developments
With the US government attempting to push through Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus package via its majority in Congress, the president now just needs Senate backing for his bill to be approved. If successful, equities markets ate likely to continue higher in the near term. A failure, however, would see risk assets recoil sharply.
Disclaimer: The material provided is for information purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The views, information, or opinions expressed in the text belong solely to the author, and not to the author’s employer, organization, committee or other group or individual or company.
High Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% and 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with Tickmill UK Ltd and Tickmill Europe Ltd respectively. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money
Disclaimer: The material provided is for information purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The views, information, or opinions expressed in the text belong solely to the author, and not to the author’s employer, organization, committee or other group or individual or company.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
High Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% and 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with Tickmill UK Ltd and Tickmill Europe Ltd respectively. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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