GBPCHF Testing Structure Top

The price action in GBPCHF right now is showing some interesting developments that are worth monitoring. The correction in GBPCHF form YTD highs has been framed by a falling wedge pattern, suggesting there is still room for a break higher here. Price has recently found support into the 1.2533 level with plenty of bullish divergence in both RSI and MACD. With both indicators now turned bullish, price is testing the top of the falling wedge pattern. If the current rally prevails, bulls can look for a break of the 1.2824 highs, targeting 12987 initially and 1.3147 thereafter.

With the BOE setting out its path to modest tightening over the coming years and with the SNB reaffirming its commitment to maintaining an easing presence, the divergence in monetary policy outlooks between the two banks creates plenty of room for further upside in this pair.

Key Data to Watch

Little in the way of tier one data this week. However, in the UK there is a slew of data on Thursday which could cause some movement including preliminary quarterly GDP as well as industrial and manufacturing production. Aside from these prints, headlines around COVID and UK politics are likely to be the main driver along with risk flows which, while equities remain supported, should keep CHF pressured.