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Fundamental Analysis

Dissent among Fed members grows as hard data and expectations paint different pictures

Lail Brainard, an authoritative member of the rate-setting Fed panel, voiced support on Thursday for lower interest rates to protect the economy from risks associated with low inflation and trade...

Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

Monday, July 15, 2019 - GDP (YoY) (Q2)(CNY), Industrial Production (YoY) (Jun)(CNY), CPI (QoQ) (Q2)(NZD).Tuesday, July 16, 2019 - RBA Meeting Minutes (AUD), Average Earnings Index +Bonus (May)(GBP),...

US jobs, CPI data can’t stop the rate cut as the policymakers focus on pre-emptive measures

Friday intraday returns of the Asian shares swayed around zero as Powell comments on Thursday delivered chilling influence on risk assets and was basically spent, investors turned their focus on...

Uber-dovish Powell gives green light for rumors about 50 bp rate cut

Gradual deterioration of consumer and corporate confidence as an aftermath of the trade standoff becomes the central theme of the Fed's argument in favour of fresh round of monetary stimulus, for the...

European Commission Lowers Growth Forecasts, but Euro is Hungry for Stimulus News

The European Commission has downgraded its outlook for the pace of economic expansion in the Eurozone next year, saying that US efforts to overhaul the global trade order poses the greatest risk to...

PBOC’s gold purchases – a signaling function for the markets?

Official data for May showed that the Chinese Central Bank continued to diversify its portfolio of assets, reducing investments in US government bonds and increasing physical volumes of gold. This...

As US labor market gets stronger, Fed face more challenges

US job growth exceeded expectations, NFP report data showed on Friday. The figure was 224K, which is significantly higher than the consensus of 160K jobs and more than three times the value for the...

Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

Tuesday, July 9, 2019 - JOLTs Job Openings (May)(USD), RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks (NZD).Wednesday, July 10, 2019 - GDP (MoM)(GBP), Manufacturing Production (MoM) (May)(GBP), BoC Monetary Policy Report (CAD),...

NFP preview: aiming for a strong comeback, in order to increase chances for extension of Fed’s “pause”

After the slight job growth in May of just 75K, investors believe that US labor market will utilize its unexploited potential in June, gaining 160K jobs. At the last meeting, Powell hinted that Fed...