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Fundamental Analysis

Soybeans and Pork: The Trade War Intricacies you Need to Know

China said on Friday that it will abolish part of import tariffs on US soybeans and pork. Despite a series of controversial statements and decisions that set back progress, the fundamental trend...

Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

Tuesday, December 10, 2019 - Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook(AUD), GDP (QoQ) (Q3)(GBP), Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Oct)(GBP), German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Dec)(EUR).Wednesday, December 11,...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 16

Trade Deal Expectations Impacting OilThe CFTC COT report showed that investors increased their net long positions in WTI crude last week by a further 40,961 contracts. The total net-long position now...

Japan is Likely to Start Borrowing Again. What to Expect from the Yen?

Federal Reserve’s endeavours revived risk appetite in late summer - early September and the negative-yield bond market lost its scary size. At its peak the size was $17 trillion, now it has dropped to...

Dovish Risks into BOC Meeting

BOC To Remain on Hold?The Bank of Canada meets today for its December monetary policy review and while the bank is forecast to keep rates on hold, there is still a risk that the BCO will ease further....

ISM Data Hits Greenback While Trading Rivals Gain Footing

Buying focus shifts to the markets outside of the United States. The recent market calm and roughly balanced economic views were disrupted by the latest changes in manufacturing/non-manufacturing PMIs...

The IndeX Files 03-12-2019

Markets Reverse on Trade Deal UncertaintyGlobal equities benchmarks suffered a severe shift in sentiment this week with asset markets selling off on rising fears over the health of US-Sino trade...

Does global economic data support the last leg of the US stock market rally?

Global markets were relatively quick to flip bets on modest global recovery, of which early signs appeared in September, following a year and a half slowdown for most of 2019. At the peak of the...

The Investment Bank Outlook 02 -12 -2019

In our Investment Bank Outlook each week, we bring you a selection of perspectives from leading investment banks to outline the key issues and directional views for the week ahead. These excerpts,...