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Fundamental Analysis

Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

Monday, May 4, 2020 - Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Apr)(CNY), German Manufacturing PMI (Apr)(EUR).Tuesday, May 5, 2020 - RBA Interest Rate Decision (May)(AUD), Composite PMI (Apr)(GBP), Services PMI...

ECB Warns of 12% Economic Fall This Year

Dire Economic Hit ForecastThe April ECB meeting, held yesterday, saw the bank adding to the dovish tone of recent G10 central bank messages. The ECB warned that the euro-zone economy could shrink by...

EU Data: Two weeks of Lockdown and -3.8% of GDP Decline in 1Q

GDPRecession in 2020 will go down in history as a deliberate economic sacrifice of governments in exchange of greatly reduced uncertainty. Incoming data shows that this step came at a great cost....

USD Sinks On Dovish FOMC & GDP Plunge

Fed Sounds The AlarmAt the April FOMC meeting held yesterday, the Fed held no punches in warning the market over the severity of the economic threat from COVID-19. As per the market’s expectations, in...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 36

Crude Long Positions BuildingThe CFTC COT positioning report showed that large speculators and hedge-funds (non-commercials) increased their positions in WTI last week by 76,511 contracts to a total...

Tickmill's Investing Diva, EURUSD Daily Outlook 30-04-20

EURUSD Daily Outlook - On Wednesday the Dow surges 400 points as positive Gilead news lifted hope for coronavirus treatment, oil jumped more than 20% on hopes that the economy will reopen...

ECB Meeting preview: Wrong Words in a Wrong Time

The April ECB meeting has all chances to become a factor of support for EURUSD. At the March meeting, Lagarde failed to show off ECB’s firepower at a critical time for the economy, forcing investors...

Iran Satellite Launch Raises Risks

Following a flaring up of tensions between the US and Iran over the last two weeks, rhetoric seems to have calmed down a little this week, which has been a boost for risk markets. Last week, the...

Tickmill's Investing Diva, USDJPY Daily Outlook 29-04-20

USDJPY Daily Outlook - On Tuesday oil turned positive, we found out that the French consumer confidence saw a record fall in April, so the French Prime Minister said it’s time to emerge from the...